Preview
Starts: 7th March 2024
Course: Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Florida
Par: 72
Length: 7,466 yards
2023 Champion: Kurt Kitayama
2024 Arnold Palmer Course Info
Designer: Dick Wilson & Joe Lee. Subsequent re-design by Arnold Palmer
Hosted since: 1979
Course type: Parkland
Fairways: Wide
Rough: Thick (3.5 inches)
Greens: Tifeagle Bermuda, 13 on the Stimp
Water Hazards: Nine holes
Par 5's: 4th, 6th, 12th and 16th
Premium on: Approach play and putting
Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024 Trends
Winning Score
Eight of the last eleven years have seen a winning score at the Arnold Palmer Invitational ranging between -11 and -19. However, three of the last four years have seen a winning score of between four and nine under par. The wind can have a big impact here.
Correlating Courses
Surprisingly, quite a few of the winners have solid Texas form. Also worth considering similar Florida tests like Valspar and the Honda Classic.
Course Form
Eight of the last thirteen champions had posted a top 5 finish previously. Last year's winner, Kurt Kitayama, was making his course debut though.
Recent Form
Twelve of the last thirteen champions had posted a top 25 finish in their previous three starts.
Nationality
The last three winners have been American but the five previous winners were all European or Australian.
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational Stats Analysis
We are looking for accurate approach play and a hot putter.
SG: Off The Tee
The last six winners have ranked 42-1-36-2-42-46. Worth noting that Francesco Molinari and Kurt Kitayama were the only champions in the past six years to rank inside the top 20 in Driving Accuracy.
Driving Distance
Only four champions have ranked inside the top 35 for Driving Distance in the past seven years, you don't have to be a bomber to win this event.
SG: Approach
The last six winners have ranked 19-9-3-43-15-13. In general, good approach play has been important. Worth noting that four of the past five champions have ranked inside the top 15 for Greens in Regulation.
SG: Around The Green
At first glance not hugely important. Winners have ranked 18-30-36-58-26-63 in the past six years at this event. Bear in mind each of the past five champions has ranked inside the top eleven in scrambling.
SG: Putting
This is a significant metric this week. The past six champions ranked 3-21-6-1-2-7 in this category for the week.
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational In Play Golf Betting Advice
Tough Holes
The 18th and 8th traditionally rank as the hardest holes. If betting in-play, be aware the 1st and 2nd usually rank inside the top six hardest.
Birdie Holes
The four par 5s play as the easiest, with the short par 4 13th playing under par each year also.
Closing Stretch
The 16th plays as the easiest hole each year and is a definite birdie opportunity. The 17th and 18th are regularly ranking inside the five toughest holes.
Fast or Slow Start
Every leader in the past eight years has been within the top 21 after round one. Kitayama was second after round one last year.
Will The Weather Be A Factor at The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024?
The wind is forecast to be 18-20mph on Saturday with some rain possible on Sunday. The first two days won't be weather affected.
Previous Arnold Palmer Tournament Previews
You can access our historical Arnold Palmer Invitational tips, previews and in-play blogs using the links below:
2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks
2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks
2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks
In-play
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational In-Play Blog
10th March 2024, 9.55am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Lowry |
-9 |
| Scheffler |
-9 |
| Clark |
-8 |
| Henley |
-7 |
| Matsuyama |
-7 |
| Zalatoris |
-7 |
| English |
-6 |
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 3 Conditions
The wind picked up on day three, keeping scores down.
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 4 Weather Bias?
No bias with a wind of around 10-13mph all day.
Round 4 Outright Market Summary
Scheffler remains market favourite after another strong finish. Zalatoris had a four shot lead and at one point Scheffler drifted to double figures. It's a course which continues to catch players out and we wouldn't be in any hurry to back Scheffler at 6/4. Rory McIlroy is back in it after a five under par back nine and he was the one who was tempting at 18/1. We shouldn't discount anyone as far back as four under par.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices - Arnold Palmer Invitational
Tom Hoge Top 10 Finish 9/4 @ SpreadEx
Hoge is striking the ball as well as anyone, ranking 1st tee to green and approach. We should expect to see some tough pins and perhaps the greens will be faster than yesterday so expect the top ball strikers to rise up the leaderboard.
Arnold Palmer Invitational In-Play Picks - Round 4 Bets
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9th March 2024, 11.55am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Lowry |
-7 |
| Scheffler |
-7 |
| Matsuyama |
-7 |
| Henley |
-7 |
| Clark |
-7 |
| Harman |
-7 |
| Zalatoris |
-6 |
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 2 Conditions
Fairly calm conditions by Bay Hill standards, greens are firming up each day.
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 3 Weather Bias?
The wind is slightly less in the morning but not much in it. 13mph at 9am rising to a max of 17mph.
Round 3 Outright Market Summary
Scheffler played his last seven holes in five under par to join the lead and become stand out market favourite at 13/5. He didn't have his best stuff which is perhaps a worry for the field but should also give them hope. Six players are tied for the lead and sixteen within three shots so very open and the increased wind today could cause lots of drama.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices - Arnold Palmer Invitational
Si Woo Kim Top 20 Finish 6/1 @ SpreadEx
Kim is currently four back of the top 20 but produced an incredible tee to green performance yesterday showing he's swinging well. He will tee off in the calmer of the conditions today and we can expect everyone to struggle on the greens today which should equalise his poor putting.
Arnold Palmer Invitational In-Play Picks - Round 3 Bets
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8th March 2024, 8.55am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Lowry |
-6 |
| Lower |
-5 |
| Matsuyama |
-5 |
| Henley |
-4 |
| Hodges |
-4 |
| Burns |
-4 |
| Theegala |
-4 |
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 1 Conditions
Fairly calm conditions by Bay Hill standards, greens were fast though.
2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational Round 2 Weather Bias?
The wind is slightly less in the morning but not much in it. 3mph at 7am rising to a max of 8mph.
Round 2 Outright Market Summary
It's wide open following an average start by Scottie Scheffler and a poor one by Rory McIlroy. With the wind set to pick up on Saturday, we would advise caution about backing any short prices currently, this is course where we can see a lot of change on the leaderboard.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices - Arnold Palmer Invitational
Adam Hadwin 2nd Round Leader (Each Way) 40/1 @ Skybet
Three behind currently and out early today, Hadwin is playing well enough to post a score. Lowry doesn't have the best course record here so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him come back to the field.
Arnold Palmer Invitational In-Play Picks - Round 2 Bets
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