Event Info
Starts: 15th July 2021
Course: Keene Trace GC
Par: 72
Length: 7,238 yards
2020 Champion: N/A
Results
Overall Profit/Loss: -11.5pts
Pre-Event Bets: -4.5pts
0.75pts EW Chesson Hadley 60/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts EW Kevin Tway 90/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts EW Chase Seiffert 90/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.25pts EW Andres Romero 200/1 @ Betfair (1/5 1-6)
0.25pts EW Matt Every FIRST ROUND LEADER 250/1 @ Ladbrokes (1/4 1-5)
In-Play Bets: -7pts
16 July 2021(-2pts)
0.75pts EW Bo Van Pelt 150/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts EW Bobby Bai 150/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
18 July 2021 (-4.5pts)
3pts Win Only Luke List 13/5 @ Skybet
0.75pts EW David Lingmerth 28/1 @ Skybet (1/4 1-3)
Preview
Course Info
Designer: Arthur Hills
Used Since: 2018
Fairways: Generous
Greens: Bentgrass (11.5 stimp)
Water Hazards: On six holes
Par 5's: 5th, 8th, 11th and 15th
Premium on: Approach play
Significant Info
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
The field is much weaker than regular PGA Tour events as this event is played opposite The Open.
Scoring has been low the past two years, birdies are the name of the game.
Weather
Thursday
Partly cloudy with a max wind speed of 9mph.
Friday
Possible thunderstorms with a max wind speed of 10mph.
Saturday
Possible thunderstorms with a max wind speed of 8mph.
Sunday
Possible thunderstorms with a max wind speed of 7mph.
Trends
Winning Score
We have seen winnign scores of -26 and -23 the past two years, expect low scoring again.
Course Form
Neither champion had played the course before.
Recent Form
Jim Herman had missed seven of his last eight cuts prior to winning. Troy Merritt had two top 20 finishes in his last four starts.
World Ranking
2018 champion, Troy Merritt, was 327th in the world. Defending champion, Jim Herman, was 1252nd when he won!
Nationality
Americans have won both events at this course.
Correlating Courses
None of note.
Stats Analysis
SG: Off The Tee
Looking at the two winners, Herman ranked 27th in 2019, whilst Lashley ranked 14th in 2018.
Driving Accuracy
Herman ranked 27th and Merritt ranked 23rd.
Driving Distance
Similar to driving accuracy, 27th and 34th.
SG: Approach
Approach play is key with the two past champions ranking 1st and 5th in this category.
Greens In Regulation
A similar story to SG: Approach with rankings of 2nd and 5th for Herman and Merritt.
SG: Around The Green
Neither of the two course winners have ranked in the top 40 in this category (52nd and 46th).
SG: Putting
A complete contrast, Herman ranked 1st whilst Merritt ranked 70th!
In Play
Tough Holes
The holes were moved around in 2019 with the par 3 9th playing as the hardest.
Birdie Holes
The par 5's (5th, 8th, 11th and 15th) played as the easiest holes in 2019.
Closing Stretch
The closing three holes played fractionally over par in 2019
Fast or Slow Start
Herman was 4th and Merritt was 1st after the opening 18 holes when they triumphed.
Both winners at this course have led at halfway and through 54 holes.
In-play
Barbasol Championship In-Play Blog
18th July 2021, 11.15am
| Player | Total |
|---|---|
| Poston | -19 |
| List | -18 |
| Bramlett | -17 |
| Hahn | -17 |
| Power | -16 |
| Lingmerth | -16 |
J.T. Poston retains a one shot lead at the Barbasol Championship but story of the day was undoubtedly James Hahn narrowly missing out on a 59 with a round of 60. Han made two eagles and eight birdies in an impressive display that moved him up 46 places on the leaderboard.
Hahn finds himself third in the betting at 8/1 and behind Poston (15/8) and Luke List (13/5). Poston has been largely disappointing in 2021, failing to record a top 10 finish. He was last in contention at the 2020 Sandersons Farm Championship, where he was joint leader after 54 holes. A disappointing round of 70 that day saw him slip to 3rd. His Golf Betting Club Pressure Performance Rating is set at 3⭐ and we're happy to take him on today.
Luke List has been knocking on the door of a win on the PGA Tour for some time now. Fourth last week at the John Deere and with multiple top 5 finishes on the Tour, he will surely win soon. He won the Korn Ferry Challenge at TPC Sawgrass last year on the Korn Ferry Tour so he will be able to draw upon those memories. Incidentally, he was one shot back going into the final round at that event.
Joseph Bramlett followed List home at the Korn Ferry Challenge and he'll be hoping fortunes are reversed today. However, no wins from over 150 starts as a pro is a worry, especially since many of those starts have come on the Korn Ferry Tour. In his defence, he's vastly improved his play over the past 18 months.
James Hahn must face the challenge of following his round of 60 with another low one. It's obviously not impossible but it's traditionally hard to back up scoring like that.
The current forecast for round four is cloudy, with the wind peaking at 9mph in the afternoon.
Round 4 Bets
- 3pts Win Only Luke List 13/5 @ Skybet
Luke stated in his post round interview that he's got a lot of confidence in his game right now and that's putting him in a good position mentally. With doubts over Poston's ability to lead, we think Luke may well come through and take this. His win last year on the Korn Ferry Tour will have given him great confidence and he ranks 1st SG: Approach this week.
- 0.75pts Each Way David Lingmerth 28/1 @ Skybet (1/4 1-3)
David has been troubled by injuries over the last few years but with several of those injuries no longer bothering him, he's been able to put some solid rounds together this week. He's a past winner on tour, having won the 2015 Memorial tournament. He'll need a low final round to take this as he's three shots off the lead but he's putting well (11th SG: Putting) so he just needs to give himself opportunities.
17th July 2021, 3.15pm
| Player | Total |
|---|---|
| Poston | -13 |
| Armour | -12 |
| Bramlett | -12 |
| List | -11 |
| Power | -11 |
| Stuard | -11 |
| Pendrith | -11 |
J.T. Poston fired a 2nd round 66 to open up a one shot lead at the Barbasol Championship.
The American hasn't won on the PGA Tour since 2019 but that's more than can be said for most of the others near the top of the leaderboard. Brian Stuard and Ryan Armour are the only other players in the top seven to have won on the PGA Tour before and it's very much a list of names that aren't particularly trustworthy in contention.
With history showing that leaders should be favoured and the front seven in the betting all 11/1 or less, we don't see much value at this stage. With that in mind there are no bets advised today.
The current forecast for round three is cloudy, with the wind peaking at 9mph in the afternoon.
Round 3 Bets
- No bet
16th July 2021, 10.25am
| Player | Total |
|---|---|
| Stuard | -8 |
| Twelve players tied | -7 |
The first round of the Barbasol Championship was unable to be completed due to a weather delay mid afternoon. As such, we have 30 players yet to complete their opening rounds.
Three of those players sit at -7 and have the opportunity to tie or go past clubhouse leader, Brian Stuard. Patrick Rodgers, Stephen Stallings Jr and Will Grimmer will all be hoping to continue their hot streak over their final 2 or 3 holes.
Our preview highlighted the need to be up with play after the opening round so we won't be looking too far down the leaderboard. With 30 players within three shots of the lead it's still very bunched and we're focusing on players at 100/1+.
The current forecast for round two is further thunderstorms, with the wind peaking at 11mph in the afternoon.
Round 2 Bets
- 0.75pts Each Way Bo Van Pelt 150/1 @ Boylesports (1/4 1-5)
Bo shot an opening 67 and finds himself three shots off the lead. It was only four starts ago that he was 2nd at the Palmetto Championship and he can use that experience to over the next three days. His long game was excellent yesterday, ranking 17th SG: Off The Tee and 3rd SG: Approach. He's a past winner on the PGA and European Tour and there's a lot to like about odds of 150/1.
- 0.5pts Each Way Bobby Bai 150/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
Bobby isn't a household name but might be worth a play at small stakes given he's won a low scoring event which was similar in quality to this. He won the Foshan Open on the Challenge Tour in 2019 with a score of -23, beating players such as Matthew Jordan, Callum Hill and Richard Bland. He's spent the last two years playing the Korn Ferry Tour with limited success but it obviously takes time to adjust to playing in a new country. He posted a 6th place finish at the Huntsville Championship earlier this year to show he's finding his feet and we're happy to play him at big odds.
