Preview
Starts: 15th August 2024
Course: TPC Southwind
Par: 70 (35-35)
Length: 7,243 yards
Grass Type: Bermuda
2023 Champion: Lucas Glover
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Tips
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FedEx St Jude Championship Course Info
Designer: Ron Prichard
Fairways: Zoysia, Narrower than average
Rough: 2.5 inches - Not severe
Greens: Bermuda grass - Smaller than average
Water Hazards: In-play on 8 holes
Par 5's: 3rd and 16th
Premium on: Solid tee to green and approach play
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
This event is the first of the Fed-Ex playoff series where the top 70 on the PGA Tour money list compete. The Top 50 will advance to the BMW Championship next week.
This course hosted WGC events in 2021 and 2020, it was previously the host of the FedEx St Jude Classic. We therefore have 30+ years of course form.
The course underwent an upgrade in 2004, with Loren Roberts overseeing a host of changes including new trees, additional bunkers, narrowing of the fairways and a change to Bermuda grass on the greens. Place less emphasis on any form pre-2004.
Since 2003, TPC Southwind’s 5,989 balls in the water are the most at any PGA TOUR course during that stretch. TPC Sawgrass (4,809), Muirfield Village (4,753) and PGA National (4,730) are the next three. (Source - PGA Tour)
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Stats Analysis
Eight of the last twelve winners at TPC Southwind have led the field in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green so there is an emphasis on players who are striking the ball well. With smaller than average greens, and water a persistent threat, it's no surprise a sound long game is required.
A look at the stats of last three course winners are below. It's clear there is less emphasis on driving and more on approach, whilst a tidy short game on and around the greens looks a key for success too.
SG: Off The Tee
31-18-16
SG: Approach
16-1-5
SG: Around The Green
6-43-6
SG: Putting
12-25-10
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship In Play Tips
Tough Holes
The 457-yard ninth is a hard dogleg to the right that requires a precise, long tee shot before an approach shot over water. Players out of position off the tee will likely need to hit a conservative second shot up the right side. The 18th hole has water running along its entire left side, but unlike No. 9, this 453-yard par-4 is a dogleg to the left.
The 239-yard, par-3 14th hole can also sneak up on players with water down the right side. Any pin positions on the right side of the green will require players to make a full carry over the water. (Source - PGA Tour)
Birdie Holes
The par 5 16th and 3rd play as the easiest holes.
Fast or Slow Start
Last year's winner, Lucas Glover, was never outside the top five.
However, 2022 winner Zalatoris was NINE shots behind after round one. None of the three men in the playoff in 2021 were within four of the lead after day one. The previous two WGC winners at Southwind were in the top 18 after round one.
Three of the last five course winners have been inside the top 12 at halfway, with Zalatoris the exception.
In the past, course winners tended to be within striking distance going into the final day but not necessarily leading. Koepka was a stroke back in 2019 and overcame Rory McIlroy to win. Both DJ and Daniel Berger won in 2018 and 2016 respectively when leading after the third round. Berger's second win in 2017 came from three shots off the pace with a round to go.
However, in 2021, Sam Burns and Hideki Matsuyama came from 8 and 9 shots back of leader Harris English to reach a playoff which they lost to Abraham Ancer. Zalatoris came from two back in 2022. Comebacks are possible here with lots of water in play.
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Tips
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In-play
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship In-Play Blog
18th August 2024, 10:45am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Matsuyama |
-17 |
| Dunlap |
-12 |
| Hovland |
-11 |
| Scheffler |
-10 |
| Burns |
-10 |
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Round 3 Conditions
Sunny and hot with a moderate breeze.
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Round 4 Weather Bias?
Sunny throughout with the wind a consistent 7-12mph.
Round 4 Outright Market Summary
Hideki Matsuyama has taken control of the event, opening up a five shot lead. However our peview highlighted that big comebacks can happen at St Jude.
In the past, course winners tended to be within striking distance going into the final day but not necessarily leading. Koepka was a stroke back in 2019 and overcame Rory McIlroy to win. Both DJ and Daniel Berger won in 2018 and 2016 respectively when leading after the third round. Berger's second win in 2017 came from three shots off the pace with a round to go.
However, in 2021, Sam Burns and Hideki Matsuyama came from 8 and 9 shots back of leader Harris English to reach a playoff which they lost to Abraham Ancer. Zalatoris came from two back in 2022. Comebacks are possible here with lots of water in play.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices
None
FedEx St Jude Championship Round 4 Bets
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17th August 2024, 7:45am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| McCarthy |
-11 |
| Matsuyama |
-11 |
| Burns |
-10 |
| Scheffler |
-9 |
| Two Players Tied |
-8 |
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Round 2 Conditions
Sunny and hot with very little breeze.
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Round 3 Weather Bias?
Sunny throughout with the wind a consistent 9-11mph.
Round 3 Outright Market Summary
Scottie Scheffler has shortened to a best price of 9/5 after moving into fourth place and only two shots off the pace set by Denny McCarthy and Hideki Matsuyama.
The world number one has gained strokes with all areas of his game this week, ranking third for SG: Tee to Green. Scheffler looks to be in a good spot for a weekend push and he remains the man to beat.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices
Will Zalatoris lowest 3rd round score 70/1 @ Skybet
Zalatoris was considered in the outright market but at a similar price is preferred on the lowest third round score market offered by Skybet. A win and an 8th place event in his two starts shows just how much he enjoys TPC Southwind and shot a flawless round of 65 in round two. He can better that effort in round three.
FedEx St Jude Championship Round 3 Bets
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16th August 2024, 9:45am (UK time)
| Player | Total |
|---|
| Kirk |
-6 |
| Pendrith |
-5 |
| Pavon |
-5 |
| Matsuyama |
-5 |
| Seven Players Tied |
-4 |
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Round 1 Conditions
Sunny and hot with very little breeze.
2024 FedEx St Jude Championship Round 2 Weather Bias?
Sunny throughout with the wind a consistent 9-11mph.
Round 2 Outright Market Summary
Scottie Scheffler is the 5/2 favourite after an opening round of 66.
Seven wins in his last twelve starts makes Scheffler difficult to oppose. This is a course where Scheffler is yet to triumph but with ball striking at a premium, it feels like a matter of time before he does.
Eye Catching Niche Market Prices
Adam Scott top 30 finish 20/21 @ Bet365
Scott had a really poor day with his irons in round one and as such got off to a slow start. He is currently in 43rd position but only one shot off the top 30. The Australian is expected to return to his normal level of approach play in round two and make up ground given he has gained strokes in three of his last four starts.
FedEx St Jude Championship Round 2 Bets
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