Event Info
Starts: 10th June 2021
Course: Vallda G&CC, Kungsbacka, Gothenburg, Sweden
Par: 72 (36-36)
Length: 7,060 yards
2020 Champion: N/A
Results
Overall Profit/Loss: -14.5pts
Pre-Event Bets: -6.5pts
1pt EW Renato Paratore 50/1 @ Betway/Unibet (1/5 1-6)
0.5pts EW Benjamin Hebert 90/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts EW Mark Warren 110/1 @ Skybet (1/5 1-6)
0.5pts EW Joakim Lagergren 125/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.5pts EW Rikard Karlberg 175/1 @ Bet365 (1/4 1-5)
0.25pts EW David Drysdale 250/1 @ Skybet (1/5 1-6)
In-Play Bets: -8pts
11 June 2021(-3pts)
1pt Each Way Christine Wolff 40/1 @ Betfair (1/5 1-5)
0.5pts Each Way Oliver Farr 80/1 @ William Hill (1/4 1-5)
12 June 2021(-3pts)
1pt Each Way Pia Babnik 40/1 @ Boylesports (1/5 1-5)
0.5pts Each Way Emily Kirstine Pedersen 80/1 @ Skybet (1/4 1-4)
13 June 2021(-2pts)
2pts Win Only Adrian Otaegui 8/1 @ William Hill
Preview
Course Info
Designer: Martin Hawtree
Type of Course: Heathland, links-style layout
Used Since: Never
Fairways: Dry, firm.
Rough: Long
Greens: Undulating, Hard and Links-style.
Water Hazards: In-play on around half of the holes.
Par 5's: 4th, 6th, 10th, and 16th
Premium on: Accuracy, Links form.
Significant Info To Be Aware Of
This event was meant to go ahead in 2020 but was cancelled. It features 78 golfers from the European Tour alongside the same number from the Ladies European Tour (LET).
There will be a prize fund of €1m for this official Tour event, with World Ranking points available. It will also count towards qualifying for the Solheim Cup.
There will only be one winner.
It is the first time we have seen this course on tour. It was designed to feel like a traditional Scottish Links course.
Continue to exercise caution in relation to Covid-19 related withdrawals.
Weather Forecast
Warm and dry all four days, approx. 20 degrees celsius with moderate winds. Saturday due to be windiest day.
Thursday
Sunny intervals with gentle breeze. Wind 7-9mph
Friday
Light cloud with gentle breeze. Wind 6-10mph
Saturday
Sunny and a moderate breeze. Wind 9-15mph
Sunday
Sunny and a gentle breeze Wind 5-10mph
Trends
Winning score
N/A
Winning Profile
N/A
Correlating Courses
The course website states that the greens in particular are a trademark Hawtree design. They mention a similarity to Royal Birkdale, Portmarnock and Royal Melbourne so we can look to form there.
Course form
N/A
Recent form
N/A
Nationality
N/A
Stats Analysis
N/A - There are no stats available for this course.
In Play
Tough Holes
The 13th is the longest par 4 on the course and narrow green is surrounded by bunkers and trees.
Birdie Holes
All four Par 5's are rechable in two for most.
Fast or Slow Start
N/A
Closing stretch
The 16th is a short par 5 measuring 519 yards, followed by the 442 yard par 4 17th which has water in play all down the left. The 18th is a simple par 4 until you get to the green and there can be tricky pins.
In-play
Scandanavian Mixed In-Play Blog
13th June 2021, 8.45am
| Player | Total |
|---|---|
| Hedwall | -12 |
| Enoch | -12 |
| Scrivener | -12 |
| Hewson | -12 |
| Chesters | -11 |
| Drysdale | -11 |
| Hend | -11 |
| Morrison | -11 |
| Otaegui | -11 |
As we suggested in yesterday's blog, windy conditions in round three saw the leaderboard change significantly with only Caroline Hedwall retaining her place on page one. A double bogey from Caroline Hedwall at her penultimate hole means we have a four way tie at the top going into the final round.
Jason Scrivener is the clear favourite at 3/1 to win his first European Tour title. The Aussie has been playing some great golf this season and will surely be full of confidence when he steps on the first tee. A 3rd place finish at The Made in Himmerland, a runner up finish at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and a solid effort at the PGA Championship mark him out as someone ready to make the next step. However, 3/1 isn't a price we like with a leaderboard this bunched.
Like Scrivener, Rhys Enoch also posted a low round earlier in the day when the wind was not as strong. Enoch won earlier this season on the Sunshine Tour but has yet to make any impression on the European Tour. He does have a solid body of work on the Challenge Tour but he's probably a little short for us in the betting. He's now joint second favourite (7/1) with Caroline Hedwall.
Caroline Hedwall bounced back from a bogey-bogey start yesterday to post a 73 in the worst of the conditions. That won't get the job done today though and with 9 players separated by a shot, she'll need a low one to win this. Six wins on the LET suggest she shouldn't be written off.
Hedwall is joined at the top by Alice Hewson. Hewson indicated that she will "probably be a bit nervous, especially on the first tee" and that's understandable given her relative inexperience. Hewson only joined the LET in 2020 but did win her opening event last year, the South African Women's Open. The bookies have Hewson as a 16/1 shot and that's perhaps a little dismissive given she also won the Rose Series Grand Final last season (albeit in strange circumstances).
The real danger may come from the players at 11 under. Scott Hend, James Morrison and Adrian Otaegui are all multiple European Tour winners and each is capable of shooting a low final round to win this.
Golf Betting Club subscribers will be cheering on 250/1 David Drysdale. We tipped him at the start of the week and are very much hoping he can secure his first ever European Tour win. He'll need a low round to do so but the bunched nature of the leaderboard may take a little pressure off a little. Let's keep our fingers crossed!
We should have ideal conditions for the final round with sun and a maximum wind of 11mph.
Round 4 Bet
- 2pts Win Only Adrian Otaegui 8/1 @ William Hill
Adrian Otaegui was impressive when winning the Scottish Championship on a links style track last year. A final round 63 saw him beat Matt Wallace that day and given there's nobody of Wallace's quality on the leaderboard, he should fancy his chances today. He's improved his score every day this week and brings some nice momentum into the final round. A three time winner on tour, he can use his experience to see this through.
11th June 2021, 6.10pm
| Player | Total |
|---|---|
| Hedwall | -13 |
| Luiten | -12 |
| Fichardt | -11 |
| Brown | -11 |
| Four Players Tied | -10 |
The PM-AM wave appear to have the best of the draw and only three of the top 14 played this afternoon – Steven Brown, Kalle Samooja and Pep Angles.
Caroline Hedwall leads the way on 13 under, one ahead of playing partner Joost Luiten. Brown and Darren Fichardt are one further back at 11 under.
Hedwall has plenty of experience on the Ladies European Tour, with six wins to her name. Only one has been since 2012 though, in France in 2018. It will be a big ask for her to hold off the field for two more rounds and she wouldn’t be for us at 7/1.
There is no doubt Luiten is playing tremendous golf with form figures of 11-15-wd-8-12, and no one could say he doesn’t deserve a win soon. He’s a worthy 3/1 favourite but with the format and the forecast of bad weather tomorrow, we wouldn’t want to play him at that price.
Fichardt is a big danger and should have won the Qatar Masters a couple of months ago. In seven starts in 2021, he has only finished worse than 22nd once, which highlights how good he’s feeling about his game.
With winds set to gust near 20mph tomorrow we could see considerable change to the leaderboard. Our 250/1 pre-event selection David Drysdale should enjoy the conditions and we wouldn’t put anyone off getting on the Scotsman at 66/1 currently. We have two plays for tomorrow.
Round 3 Bets
- 1pt Each Way Pia Babnik 40/1 @ Boylesports (1/5 1-5)
The 17 year old is walking on water at the moment following her first LET win last week. She placed 5th two starts before that and seems an exceptional talent. Pia has grown up playing lots of golf with her brothers, who also play to a high standard, so she enjoys the format. Only three shots off the lead, she can kick on from here and we’re happy to get on board at 40/1.
- 0.5pts Each Way Emily Kirstine Pedersen 80/1 @ Skybet (1/4 1-4)
Pederson is the highest ranked woman in the field and made a nice move up the leaderboard in the tougher afternoon conditions today. We should expect the cream to begin to rise over the next two days and 80/1 could look an absolute steal come Sunday.
10th June 2021, 7.30pm
| Player | Total |
|---|---|
| Horsfield | -8 |
| Wolf | -8 |
| Samooja | -7 |
| Brown | -7 |
| Chesters | -7 |
| Angles | -7 |
Organisers of the Scandinavian Mixed will be delighted as the lead is shared by Sam Horsfield and Christine Wolf. The bookmakers still see it as a bit of a mismatch however, with Horsfield priced 3/1 favourite and Wolf available at 40’s.
Kalle Samooja is one back and regarded as Horsfield’s biggest threat at 13/2. He has had a habit of starting fast this year and failing to kick on, and is not for us at that price.
Horsfield will be tough to beat from here but he did mention he withdrew with food poisoning last week so his energy levels may drop over four days and it’s possible he goes backwards like he did at the PGA Championship a couple of weeks ago.
This is still a wide open heat, the course is very scoreable and we should see some low numbers again tomorrow. Stronger winds on Saturday could throw a spanner in the works but we’ve identified who we see as the value from here.
Round 2 Bets
- 1pt Each Way Christine Wolff 40/1 @ Betfair (1/5 1-5)
We think Christine has been underestimated here and think there is some juice in here price to hang around this week. She has arrived in brilliant form, trending with figures of 6-10-28. She commented after her round that she has complete trust in her swing right now and she can hit it really hard with belief it will go straight. A winner in 2019 on the Ladies European Tour in India, Christine is worth chancing to give the men something to think about this week.
- 0.5pts Each Way Oliver Farr 80/1 @ William Hill (1/4 1-5)
This really is a tremendous price for the Welshman who has been out of form at late but the test this week should suit given his CV. He recorded his best finishes of the season in the UK last year, finishing 9th in Scotland and 3rd at the Hero Open. Both courses resemble this week with wide open fairways and firm greens. He was completely out of form before the Hero Open so we know he can suddenly turn it on if the test suits. Take the 80's at Hills as it won't be there for long.
